{"id":16071,"date":"2012-01-04T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2012-01-04T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.silutesnaujienos.lt\/lt\/a-galvonaite-senoliais-niekad-nevertejo-per-daug-tiketi\/"},"modified":"2012-01-04T09:00:00","modified_gmt":"2012-01-04T11:00:00","slug":"a-galvonaite-senoliais-niekad-nevertejo-per-daug-tiketi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.silutesnaujienos.lt\/lt\/a-galvonaite-senoliais-niekad-nevertejo-per-daug-tiketi\/","title":{"rendered":"A. Galvonait\u0117: senoliais niekad nevert\u0117jo per daug tik\u0117ti"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"sniegas\"<\/a>Klimatolog\u0117 Audron\u0117 Galvonait\u0117 teigia, kad senoli\u0173 i\u0161mintis prognozuojant sezoninius orus sunkiai pasitvirtina, nors trumpalaik\u0117mis \u0161ia i\u0161mintimi pagr\u012fstomis prognoz\u0117mis pasikliauti dar galima. Lietuviai nuo seno \u012fvairiais b\u016bdais pagal gamt\u0105 sp\u0117davo, kokie bus met\u0173 sezonai. Dabar patys \u017emon\u0117s i\u0161kraipo gamt\u0105, tad ar dar verta tik\u0117ti senoli\u0173 i\u0161mintimi? – lrt.lt paklaus\u0117 A. Galvonait\u0117s.<\/b><\/p>\n

Senoliais tik\u0117ti nelabai vert\u0117jo vis\u0105 laik\u0105, nes Lietuvoje t\u0173 senoli\u0173 pasteb\u0117jim\u0173 kiekviename regione buvo labai skirting\u0173 ir ne visada jie pasitvirtindavo. Tik kad neb\u016bdavo tiek daug smalsi\u0173 \u017eurnalist\u0173 ir jie nepaskelbdavo visko, kas nepasitvirtindavo.<\/p>\n

\u017dinoma, yra ir reali\u0173 po\u017eymi\u0173. Pasakyme, kad gruod\u017eio \u0161iluma \u017eada v\u0117lyv\u0105 pavasar\u012f, yra tiesos, nes tikrai toks balansas gamtoje turi b\u016bti i\u0161laikytas ir netgi da\u017enai pasitaiko, kad po \u0161iltos, ramios \u017eiemos tas pavasaris ateina gana v\u0117lyvai. Nors mes labai da\u017enai pavasario laukiame su kovo 1-\u0105ja ir pas mus viskas yra lyginama su kalendoriaus lapeliu.<\/p>\n

Jeigu taip b\u016bt\u0173, tai b\u016bt\u0173 lengva gyventi m\u016bs\u0173 prognozuotojams \u2013 pervertei lapel\u012f ir jau \u017einai, kad pavasaris. Deja, gamta taip nesutverta ir pas mus \u012f Lietuv\u0105 visi met\u0173 sezonai ateina kitaip negu rodo kalendorius.<\/p>\n

Gal senoliai gamt\u0105 steb\u0117davo kasdien, tiesiogiai, jie praleisdavo daugiau laiko laukuose ir matydavo jos poky\u010dius, tur\u0117davo daug daugiau t\u0173 \u017eenkl\u0173, po\u017eymi\u0173. J\u0173 akis gal buvo jautresn\u0117 tiems \u017eenklams? <\/strong><\/p>\n

\"A.Jie matydavo keitim\u0105si ir, gal\u0173 gale, nebuvo tiek persp\u0117jim\u0173, kaip elgtis vienu ar kitu metu. Jie tur\u0117jo steb\u0117ti ir suprasti, kad jiems reikia pasiruo\u0161ti kokioms nors negandoms, jog i\u0161likt\u0173. Dabar \u017emogus i\u0161 tikr\u0173j\u0173 yra labai daug k\u0105 prarad\u0119s. T\u0105 jutim\u0105 dar i\u0161laik\u0119 gyv\u016bnai, augalai, o \u017emogus j\u012f prarado. Dabar, jeigu kar\u0161ta, \u012fjungia kondicionieri\u0173, jeigu \u0161alta \u2013 \u0161ildytuv\u0105, o jeigu kas \u2013 kalti visi sinoptikai. \u017dmogus tiesiog nustojo m\u0105styti.<\/p>\n

Jeigu \u017emogus man skambina ir piktinasi, kad jam nepasak\u0117 prie\u0161 stipr\u0173 v\u0117j\u0105 u\u017edaryti lang\u0105, tai k\u0105 galima galvoti? Rei\u0161kia, mes turime pasakyti, kaip jis turi elgtis perk\u016bnijos metu. Mano Anapilin i\u0161\u0117jusi mo\u010diut\u0117 netur\u0117jo \u017eurnalist\u0173 po \u0161onu, bet visuomet \u017einojo, kaip elgtis perk\u016bnijos metu.<\/p>\n

Dabar m\u016bs\u0173 karta jau ne\u017eino nieko, nes viskas yra sukramtoma, paduodama. Taigi, tie senoli\u0173 pasteb\u0117jimai pakito. Juk senoliai tur\u0117jo arkliuk\u0105, o dabar kiek ma\u0161in\u0173 kieme. Ir visos da\u017eniausiai \u012fjungtos, birbina. Seniau po Vilni\u0173 va\u017ein\u0117jo bri\u010dkel\u0117s ir t.t. Dabar, kai einu \u012f darb\u0105 ir matau, kaip viena ma\u0161ina prie kitos prilipusi stovi po kelias valandas ir d\u016bmina, tai kokie tie senoli\u0173 pasteb\u0117jimai gali tvirtintis?<\/p>\n

Gal ir tie po\u017eymiai ne visi at\u0117jo, liko tik nuotrupos, i\u0161sikraip\u0117 sp\u0117jimai? <\/strong><\/p>\n

Jie, kaip sakiau, netgi atskirose grup\u0117se buvo \u012fvair\u016bs: dz\u016bkai tur\u0117jo vienokius po\u017eymius, vienoki\u0105 \u017eem\u0119 \u2013 pas juos \u0161al\u010dio poliai buvo. Auk\u0161tai\u010diai, \u017eemai\u010diai v\u0117l savus tur\u0117jo. Man b\u016bnant radijo laidoje paskambino moteris, nusipirkusi keturias kiaul\u0117s kasas, visos jos skirtingos, ir klaus\u0117, pagal kuri\u0105 burti. \u0160tai matote, dabar neb\u0117ra nat\u016bralus ir kiauli\u0173 auginimas, daug kas yra i\u0161kreipta. Geras pasakymas: bitut\u0117s ir tos nebeprognozuoja, nes jos atve\u017etin\u0117s. Daug kas susimai\u0161\u0119, daug kas pakeista, atve\u017eta, pasodinta arba auginama b\u016btent tai, kas nebuvo b\u016bdinga Lietuvai.<\/p>\n

O j\u016bs turite tuos pasteb\u0117jimus? Nes j\u016bs\u0173 tinklapyje pamatysite j\u0173 daugiau nei dvide\u0161imt. Tarkime, jei naujametin\u0117 naktis be sniego ir \u0161ilta \u2013 lauk v\u0117lyvo pavasario. Vis d\u0117lto Hidrometeorologijos tarnyba \u0161iuos senoli\u0173 sp\u0117jimus \u012fsid\u0117jusi. Tai gal sinoptikai kartais jais vadovaujasi? <\/strong><\/p>\n

Ne, mes \u012fdedame tam, kad gal\u0117tume pa\u017eaisti. Nesivadovaujame tuo, nes tai b\u016bt\u0173 ne visai profesionalu.<\/p>\n

\"vokietija\"<\/a>Kiek j\u016bs pati tikite senoli\u0173 i\u0161mintimi, ar kaip nors pritaikote tai savo darbe? <\/strong><\/p>\n

Ne, a\u0161 netikiu. A\u0161 tikiu ne sezoniniais posakiais, bet kokia nors prognoze pagal pasteb\u0117jimus be \u017eem\u0117lapi\u0173, pagal dangaus spalv\u0105. Pagal tai, kaip kei\u010diasi debesys, kokia atmosferos spalva. A\u0161, kaip profesionalas, matydamas be joki\u0173 \u017eem\u0117lapi\u0173 galiu susiprognozuoti sau.<\/p>\n

Bet tai \u2013 trumpalaik\u0117s, vienadien\u0117s prognoz\u0117s? <\/strong><\/p>\n

Taip, b\u016btent trumpalaik\u0117s ir, matote, kad ilgalaik\u0117s jau nebesitvirtina pagal senoli\u0173 pasteb\u0117jimus. Visi specialistai irgi sudeda ginklus, nes labai greitai vyksta keitimasis, negali visko \u012fvertinti, kas t\u0105 akimirk\u0105 pasaulyje gali \u012fvykti.<\/p>\n

Jums, gr\u012f\u017eus \u012f t\u0117vi\u0161k\u0119 ar nuva\u017eiavus \u012f kok\u012f nors kaim\u0105, tenka senoliams \u012frodin\u0117ti, paneigti j\u0173 sp\u0117jimus savo darbu, \u017einiomis? <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u017dinokite, kad ir keista, dabar senoliai da\u017eniau klausia man\u0119s vietoj to, kad patys prognozuot\u0173. Ir man tenka \u012frodin\u0117ti, kad gal gi patys susiprognozuos. Sako: ne, mes klausom tav\u0119s. \u017dod\u017eiu, senoliai pasikeit\u0117, dabar jau jie laukia, kol kokie \u017eurnalistai, specialistai jiems pasakys. Na pabando jie ten sau, bet da\u017enai pamir\u0161ta ir po to dar mus apkaltina, kad mes taip sak\u0117m.<\/p>\n

Ne visada tvirtindavosi ir anks\u010diau: jeigu nesusirinkdavo \u012f koki\u0105 ba\u017eny\u010di\u0105 ir neaptardavo, tai nelabai ir \u017einodavo, kad \u0161kvalas nune\u0161\u0117 gal\u0105 vieno kaimo, o kitame kaimo gale nieko nebuvo.<\/p>\n

Orai buvo vis\u0105 laik\u0105 nepastov\u016bs, dinami\u0161ki. Dabar su klimato kaita dar grei\u010diau ir ekstremaliau viskas vyksta. Da\u017enai atsiranda toki\u0173 rei\u0161kini\u0173, kurie nebuvo b\u016bdingi Lietuvai. Senoliai nustemba ir vis\u0105 laik\u0105 galvoja, kad \u010dia pasaulio pabaiga. Viena moteri\u0161k\u0117 pamat\u0117 tris saules, man paskambino ir pasak\u0117: prisi\u017eaid\u0117t, saul\u0117 susprogo ir dabar jau bus. Tai a\u0161 jai pasi\u016bliau pasiimti sk\u0117t\u012f, nes tai bus blogi orai.<\/p>\n

Sakote, kad senoliai kaimuose klausia j\u016bs\u0173 or\u0173 prognoz\u0117s. O ar b\u016bna paskambinan\u010di\u0173 \u012f j\u016bs\u0173 tarnyb\u0105, pra\u0161an\u010di\u0173 patvirtinti arba paneigti koki\u0105 prognoz\u0119? <\/strong><\/p>\n

O, ir labai daug. Ir man d\u017eiugu, nes \u017emon\u0117s \u017ei\u016bri ir pastebi. Yra rei\u0161kini\u0173, kurie labai lokal\u016bs ir m\u016bs\u0173 stotys ne visus registruoja. \u017dmon\u0117s pamato k\u0105 nors \u012fdomesnio, paskambina, paklausia. I\u0161 prad\u017ei\u0173 b\u016bna i\u0161sigand\u0119, po to aptariam, koks tai rei\u0161kinys. Kit\u0105 kart\u0105 ir para\u0161o, kaimo \u017emon\u0117s turi tuos kompiuterius, nufotografuoja \u012fdomesnius debesis. Ai\u0161ku, bando kartais ir pagauti, kai kada sumontuoja debesis ir klausia, kas tai. \u017di\u016bri, ar suprasiu, kad \u010dia yra monta\u017eas.<\/p>\n

Ar suprantate? <\/strong><\/p>\n

Suprantu ir netgi kelis kartus pasakiau, kad nereikia man\u0119s gaudyti, nes tai nenat\u016bral\u016bs debesys. Tada sako: pasirodo, visgi specialist\u0117.<\/p>\n

Taigi, j\u016bs\u0173, kaip klimatolog\u0117s, nuomone, senoli\u0173 prognoz\u0117mis \u017emon\u0117ms tik\u0117ti nelabai vert\u0117t\u0173? <\/strong><\/p>\n

A\u0161 visada sakiau: visada visur yra ka\u017ekokio gr\u016bdo, o pa\u017eaisti tai tikrai labai verta. Ir tegul pasi\u017ei\u016bri, tegul para\u0161o. Yra \u017emoni\u0173, netgi i\u0161 dviej\u0173 esu gavusi, kurie 20 met\u0173 kiekvien\u0105 dien\u0105 apra\u0161ydavo orus. Ai\u0161ku, jie naudos didel\u0117s neturi, nes galb\u016bt termometras buvo pakabintas ne ten, kur reikia, bet vis tiek, jeigu i\u0161kyla klausimas, gali pa\u017ei\u016br\u0117ti, kas gi buvo Panev\u0117\u017eyje tam tikr\u0105 dien\u0105: lijo, snigo. Pas mus yra muziejus, kur pad\u0117ti \u0161ie daiktai.<\/p>\n

\"lrt<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Klimatolog\u0117 Audron\u0117 Galvonait\u0117 teigia, kad senoli\u0173 i\u0161mintis prognozuojant sezoninius orus sunkiai pasitvirtina, nors trumpalaik\u0117mis \u0161ia i\u0161mintimi pagr\u012fstomis prognoz\u0117mis pasikliauti dar galima. Lietuviai nuo seno \u012fvairiais b\u016bdais pagal gamt\u0105 sp\u0117davo, kokie bus met\u0173 sezonai. Dabar patys \u017emon\u0117s i\u0161kraipo gamt\u0105, tad ar dar verta tik\u0117ti senoli\u0173 i\u0161mintimi? – lrt.lt paklaus\u0117 A. Galvonait\u0117s. Senoliais tik\u0117ti nelabai vert\u0117jo vis\u0105 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16071","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-gamta"],"yoast_head":"\nA. Galvonait\u0117: senoliais niekad nevert\u0117jo per daug tik\u0117ti - \u0160ilut\u0117s naujienos<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.silutesnaujienos.lt\/lt\/a-galvonaite-senoliais-niekad-nevertejo-per-daug-tiketi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"lt_LT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A. Galvonait\u0117: senoliais niekad nevert\u0117jo per daug tik\u0117ti - \u0160ilut\u0117s naujienos\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Klimatolog\u0117 Audron\u0117 Galvonait\u0117 teigia, kad senoli\u0173 i\u0161mintis prognozuojant sezoninius orus sunkiai pasitvirtina, nors trumpalaik\u0117mis \u0161ia i\u0161mintimi pagr\u012fstomis prognoz\u0117mis pasikliauti dar galima. Lietuviai nuo seno \u012fvairiais b\u016bdais pagal gamt\u0105 sp\u0117davo, kokie bus met\u0173 sezonai. Dabar patys \u017emon\u0117s i\u0161kraipo gamt\u0105, tad ar dar verta tik\u0117ti senoli\u0173 i\u0161mintimi? – lrt.lt paklaus\u0117 A. Galvonait\u0117s. 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Dabar patys \u017emon\u0117s i\u0161kraipo gamt\u0105, tad ar dar verta tik\u0117ti senoli\u0173 i\u0161mintimi? – lrt.lt paklaus\u0117 A. Galvonait\u0117s. 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